CARDRUNNERS
What's Your Edge

Ran pretty well in spots, but I feel good about playing sharp, conscious poker, rather than playing half-hearted 1/2 which watching Knocked Up on the other monitor. Really didn't get in a lot of volume, though 46k is a lot of hands for me in a month. All of my students have been doing pretty well lately, in particularly 52823824, who went from playing 25nl to beating 100nl in a few months. Had four or five hours of sweats from Nute and Myth, and feeling really good about my play. Won't be able to get too much volume in the next few months, as I'll be on the road for a month, finalizing the CR book manuscript, and vacationing for a week in New York and a week in Seattle and Vancouver.
Anyone in NYC who wants to hang out? I'll probably be in the village or brooklyn for most of the trip. Anyone in Seattle? I know a bunch of people are going up to BC for the Olympics...
Feb 5, 10 13:02:30
yoo citizen. im in NYC. wouldn't mind getting to meet Mr Alvin face to face. when r u coming? If there is a CR meet up, im down. you're gonna meet up with Brendan K?
Feb 5, 10 19:10:59
ignore nute: im exactly the same in person, except im probably wearing pants
Feb 5, 10 19:11:12
ignore nute: im exactly the same in person, except im probably wearing pants
Yesterday, one of poetry slam's greatest documentarians, historians, and hosts passed away from an extremely swift battle with cancer. She was only diagnosed months ago, and it was a shocking process for much of the poetry community. She will be sorely missed by many people, though as she left us, she was surrounded by friends and family and passed away peacefully, by all accounts. We can count blessings for that.
This quote really struck home, and I wanted to share it with everyone I could.
Peace ya'll.
Feb 2, 10 12:30:07
Hi
Im fairly new to CR and im considering getting some coaching on NLHE. Im watching The Big Difference by VitalMyth at the moment and he recommends yourself. Can you tell me how I would go about it, if you are interested and how much it would cost?
Thanks
Sean
Both of these bring me a lot of satisfaction, both financially and socially, so it's hard for me to decide on a concentration. What do I want? Cars? Money? Women? Arguably, both fields will lead to all of that. Fame? Well, both again. Spiritual satisfaction? Catharsis? Well, poetry wins both hands down. So the question is, will the estimated monthly value I lose from poetry ($2-10k a month) be worth the intangible, but necessary value?
Hmm.
Jan 29, 10 06:10:23
You are incredibly lucky to have have had the breaks which have allowed you be able to make a living from poetry at such a young age. I'm not contesting your talent, bit of a fan tbh, but there are so many great artists and poets who barely made a living from thier work.
To think of being a poet and as losing $x a month is a bit crazy considering you are able to do both and still make a very good income.
I would just ride the poetry wave, thanks to the internet you can play poker on the road and in down time, where as poetry is something that may be hard to maintain sucess and shows in if you spend less time on it.
good luck in your decicion and hioe the tour is going well, noticed on myspace you have a lot of dates at the minute.
Jan 29, 10 09:00:43
I had a similar decision to make with my design and art work. The decision was made a lot easier because I didn't make 10k a month with design, not even close. To me a creative occupation is a lot more satisfying than poker ever could be. The fact you make good money with it makes it a no brainer in my opinion.
Diving fully into poetry might prove to be the most fulfilling thing you ever do.
Jan 29, 10 09:06:46
Why not have your cake and eat it to, diversity bring better inner harmony as well as satisfaction. DO BOTH.
Jan 29, 10 10:47:49
You probably have a really good chance to be viewed as the worlds best poet. If you dive into that, I'm sure you'll find crazy amounts of compensation and inner fulfillment. If you do decide to go with poetry, I have a feeling you'll get the itch to play poker again and will eventually keep coming back. Life is about more than just money. Would you rather make 200k and be happy, or 235k and be angry?
Not sure if you're religious or whatever, but whenever I'm faced with a tough decision, I pray. Within a week my answer is pretty clear. GL.
Jan 29, 10 14:14:18
GuitarmanUK: oh my god, for sure i've run super hot in both life and in poetry competitions, and i can without say there a lot of more deserving artists. in many ways, that makes me want to follow poetry more, because it'd be disrespect to other artists who would die for the chance to tour.
Stake Monster: do you do anything specifically to stay creative on the side? do you still do design work?
Jesse: Yeah for sure, poker is something I will never be among the top 5-10 in the world. But with poetry, the ring is right in my face and heavy and shiny. I have to think about this.
No, really.
That's some hot science, son.
Knowledge dropped.
Jan 22, 10 15:04:42
The Secret to a Negative Red Line:
Villain bets, Hero raises, Villain Shoves, Hero folds.
Jan 22, 10 15:09:39
but that's unrealistic. it's usually:
villain bets, hero raises, villain 3-bets, hero clicks it back, villain throws his monitor against the wall.
Jan 22, 10 16:25:16
to not run press the raise button when villain will press the call button, unless he'll press the call button now and press the fold button later.
Btw, Nute and I are doing a two part video where I monkey around hard in 1/2 deep ante tables against all regs, and I think it's really good discussion. Check it out.
Jan 21, 10 14:02:29
One player per hand....make sure you don't have anyone sweating you live and giving advice....
Jan 21, 10 15:51:36
The thing s people who play higher dont usually want to talk to ppl playing lower, i think you are just really lucky u have these ppl round u.
I'm going to be a bit more rigorous about my hand review, which will translate into more blog posts. Hopefully. Who knows. I am fickle.
Played about 773 hands from 100-400nl:
Pretty standard OOP isolation raise. Patalena is 20/9/2 over a very small sample. My plan is to pound the fuck out of any board I hit top pair on.
patalena calls $4
Betting pot on such a drawy board. There's almost no way I can imagine my hand is worst, as AT, TT, A8, and 88 probably all raise preflop, though this guy seems kind of passive so who knows.
Going with my read that AK is best.
citizenwind raises to $71
What? Really? Fuck you. :(
Uncalled bet of $17.90 returned to citizenwind
Villain is very aggressive preflop over a small sample.
Everything up to here is standard.
Ugh, this is a miserable check. I can value bet against A high, the diamond draw, a 3, 55,66, and random calls with KQ. I'm never getting check-raised by this straightforward opponent. I should bet to protect my hand.
I don't think people have that many 8's in villain's opening range, and I held two sevens as blockers to 87s.So my hand has got to be good here at least 22% of the time. Snap.
Whoops! Still like my river call. Still hate the turn even more.
Some winners:
Pesa has been trying to run me over, and this is the third time he's 3-bet me. He seems pretty spastic post-flop as well. I decide to lay a trap, and probably not fold my hand at any point.
I feel like if I call a 3bet OOP and then c/c a King high board, my hand looks super strong, and it's unlikely he's going to bluff the turn (unless he's extremely suicidal), so I decide to try and represent a bluff with a small c/r. I think K high boards are absolutely perfect here, because he can't imagine any kings in my range. I would've folded KQ, and likely 4bet AK, KK, and AA, especially given the stacks and dynamic. So I rep nothing, and cross my fingers to induce.
DINK!
citizenwind SNAPCALLS $213.40, and is all in
Potting the flop 4-way is suicide with any part of his range. It's guaranteeing he's going to get stacked if he was out-flopped, and letting everyone play very perfectly against him. After this bet, it's pretty hard for any player to make a big mistake.
It's a four-way pot, but ArtCruiser has turned his hand face-up as an overpair ... I don't think any other hand bets the pot like this. Not even a set or the nut flush draw. If I raise here, I'm certainly going to chase out airblaise and demonfrost, the latter of whom is the over-aggro fish and reason why im at the table. I figure I'm not really letting any draws get there-- with so much money in the pot and my "weak" flat, I think most draws will be content to shove all-in and try to take their fold equity and overlay.
All that being said, I think raising is also fine.
So in this particular hand, Demonfrost would have always gone all-in regardless of action, but at least my line still expands his shoving range to include A9, 98, 88, and JTs etc.
And in this final hand, I decide to get cute on a passive fish:
The pot is 30, and he's got 282 behind. Villain is playing 39/9/1.5 and doesn't like folding postflop. If I bet 23 on the flop and he calls, the pot will be 76 with 259 behind. bet 50 on turn, the river pot will be 176 with 209 behind. i won't be able to get his entire stack. sooo....
BAM!
DOUBLE BAM! When villain just calls here, my hand is best 100% of the time.
Jan 5, 10 04:44:52
Aren't u afraid of the flush on the final hand? Or u shoved because he checked the river? What about if villain led out shoved the river? would you call?
Love your video - How to be better Asian? CHopstick unlimited??? You are my man!!! LOL!!
Jan 5, 10 15:43:15
First hand is only standard because he's short. These kind of players almost never raise draws though he can have some worse A's.
Second hand, did you notice villain POSTED UTG? I think you need to 3B him a lot here unless you have some read that he's overly spastic with 4B and the likes; You have position and are ahead of a random hand. As played, I think riv call is not that standard as your hand is face up.
Jan 6, 10 11:43:14
my hand isn't face up at all. he's just taking a small shot because i checked or because he rivered a pair. he isn't thinking beyond level 0 at all.
Jan 13, 10 22:24:13
Nice work and everything, but on that last hand I don't think you can say 100% of the time you have him beat after he flats. He might call with his sets/2 pairs as you did in the hand prior. If someone's overbetting the flop and I have middle set, I sure as hell don't want to raise because it looks super strong and no doubt scares them off. 100% is just unreasonable, make it 80-90%
Jan 19, 10 04:45:45
Can someone please go through the math and explain why hero only has to be right 22% of the time when he calls with 77?
Thanks.
Jan 19, 10 05:00:47
ujustcallin - pot is \$77 and it costs \$22 to call. To breakeven we need to be correct \$22/(77+22) = ~22%
If that is confusing, look at this example - Pot is \$25 on the river, and then villain makes a pot sized bet, so it is \$25 to call and win \$50
So now we can see, if we call twice and lose, we make -25 -25 = -50. If we call 3 times and win once, -25 -25 +50 = 0
So the equation must be:
Amt to call / (pot size + amt to call) = break even ratio
Hope that makes sense
Jan 19, 10 05:01:19
ujustcallin - pot is \$77 and it costs \$22 to call. To breakeven we need to be correct \$22/(77+22) = ~22%
If that is confusing, look at this example - Pot is \$25 on the river, and then villain makes a pot sized bet, so it is \$25 to call and win \$50
So now we can see, if we call twice and lose, we make -25 -25 = -50. If we call 3 times and win once, -25 -25 +50 = 0
So the equation must be:
Amt to call / (pot size + amt to call) = break even ratio
Hope that makes sense
Jan 19, 10 15:40:47
The thing that confuses me is why do we add in the amt to call twice in the equation.
It seems like it should be: amt to call / pot size.
Say a pot is \$100. Villain makes a \$100 bet on river. So for the hero, it costs \$100 to win \$200, and it should be \$100 / \$200 = 50% breakeven???
Jan 19, 10 21:35:32
Yes, it is a bit confusing!
What you've just worked out there are the DIRECT pot odds, ie. what odds you are getting to win the hand. \$100 to win \$200 gives you 2:1 pot odds or 50% pot odds.
However, to work out how often you need to be CORRECT to make the call, you do the other formula.
You could think about 2:1 as saying "you need to win once every time you lose twice" also, it works the same way really.
as a 60/40 flip three times though
and when I say 60/40 I mean i have
no idea but I had a pair and other
stuff you know draws and shit.
I WRITE BEAUTIFUL POETRY
Jan 2, 10 11:18:50
"i had a pair and other stuff you know draws and shit" is a great line to describe PLO in general.
Jan 2, 10 12:26:02
Not quite as inspiring as you're just fucking do it blog from a couple of weeks ago, but amusing nevertheless.
I'm not going to lie. It was a pretty rough year for me at the mid-stakes.
Here are my results. This is about 90k hands at 200nl, 50k at 2/4, and then a miscellaneous 10k hands taking shots at bigger games with some huge fish (which went meh). Ran about 12 buy-ins under EV. This is almost all on pokerstars. I think I played like 20k hands at MSNL on FTP or so, where I won like 12 buy-ins. :(

This was pretty disappointing for me, though a few things cross my mind:
1) though i only won about 72-75 buy-ins at 200-400 all year ... which is not really that many ... I only played about 250 hours and won like $18k. For six week of full-time work, that's not half bad.
2) being a 2.5ptbb/100 winner over 150k isn't all that bad. hey, better than selling gas, right?
3) being a 2.5ptbb/100 winner over 150k is pretty bad, given where I want to be. i'll admit, i've been a poor poker student. i don't ask myth enough questions or watch enough videos. which is not to say i'm not thinking about poker all the time, it's just this year i wasn't nearly as engrossed with poker as I was in 2008. fuck, in 2008 I played 100k hands in January alone.
4) I have a LOT of work to do. Just tons and tons of work. It's both daunting and exciting to know there's so much I don't know, so much I can improve on. Time to put in some blood and sweat.
Here are my results from SSNL ring games: Basically, I played about 35k in 80 hours, ran about 10 bis above EV, and made 41 buy-ins. So between my MSNL and SSNL results, I basically ran at expectation and won 105 buy-ins over 180k hands. Okay, but certainly not spectacular. At 50nl HU, I basically played 30k hands and broke even. I suck at HU. Really, really suck at HU. And I bumhunt too! What the hell!
Thankfully, despite my poor volume and mediocre online results, I did end up ~$22k in live games, which have really been my focus, though I also lost about $8k in MTT entries -- I played about $18k in my own action and made about $10k -- a few deep runs but no big final tables. Which sucks, because last year I had over $50k in MTT profit (over three FTs) and back then I had no idea what I was doing.
Also sucks because if I won a coinflip vs. Sheikan for a lot of chips late in the FTOPs main event, and I would've been looking at an insane score. Oh well. El oh el donkaments.
I'm not really going to set any lofty poker goals for 2010. I'm going to play as much as I can, focus on playing better, and spend more time trying to fine tune my leaks, which I'm sure are numerous.
Here's to a big year, ya'll. May you all have great luck in your respective grinds.
Played some $3/6 this morning at a table of 2 HSNL regs and 2 monsterous fish, and got in KK vs. AA preflop on the third hand. Then got in QT vs. A8 all-in on a Txx board and he binked an Ace on the turn. Oh well. Online, I've played about 30k hands at SSNL, 15k at MSNL, and 2k at HSNL since the beginning of January, and run very solid and a little hot. I'm playing pretty mediocrely, however, and have been trying to work on some of my more costly leaks. Balance. Balance.
Happy holidays everyone. Here's to an amazing 2010.
Dec 24, 09 20:20:07
welcome to the torture chamber
us tournament players need more cash donks in the game haha
Dec 26, 09 04:17:36
"I've played about 30k hands at SSNL, 15k at MSNL, and 2k at HSNL since the beginning of January"
These are your totals for 2009 at 6max? I think that's what you're saying.
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