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What's Your Edge

 
Tag: Election
November 03, 2008

Dear Blog,

It's Election Eve in the states and I'm not telling you what candidate to support but I am telling you to get off your ass and vote. Anyone can complain but very little should be said if you didn't voice your opinion about who you want in office.

 I'll do more election coverage tomorrow but I'm very proud of Americans for being diligent enough to stand in 3,4,6 hour lines to be heard. It says something about what we use to stand for and maybe will stand for again.

I put my kid in daycare today so I could get more work done. It was becoming too difficult to be a stay at home dad and a poker entrepreneur so I decided to take another cut income in hopes of making it up on the felt. I'm planning on going to the WSOP in Tunica so if anyone else is going IM me at Locks1018 on AOL or Skype.

SNG Played: 210
ROI: 8.7%
$ Won: 1,821

$/hr:$160.16
hrs. played 11.4

-Locks

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wsopcircuitTunicaElection

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November 04, 2008

Dear Blog,

It's Election Eve in the states and I'm not telling you what candidate to support but I am telling you to get off your ass and vote. Anyone can complain but very little should be said if you didn't voice your opinion about who you want in office.

 I'll do more election coverage tomorrow but I'm very proud of Americans for being diligent enough to stand in 3,4,6 hour lines to be heard. It says something about what we use to stand for and maybe will stand for again.

I put my kid in daycare today so I could get more work done. It was becoming too difficult to be a stay at home dad and a poker entrepreneur so I decided to take another cut income in hopes of making it up on the felt. I'm planning on going to the WSOP in Tunica so if anyone else is going IM me at Locks1018 on AOL or Skype.

SNG Played: 210
ROI: 8.7%
$ Won: 1,821

$/hr:$160.16
hrs. played 11.4

-Locks

wsopTunicaElection

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November 05, 2008

Today is a big day in the history of our country.  Barack Obama will be the first black president in the history of the United States.  It's definitely a big step, and Mr. Obama should be a great role model for African Americans.

As for the politics side, I did vote for Mr. Obama.  My main reasons for voting for him rather than John McCain include (roughly in order of importance):

  •  Barack Obama and his advisors have a better handle on economic issues than John McCain and his advisors.  Throughout the campaign Mr. McCain made it no secret that he lacked a great understanding of economics and didn't really do much to change this.  In a poll of about 150 professional economists The Economist magazine asked which candidate the economists thought would do a better job in handling economic issues.  71% chose Obama.
  • Mr. Obama is a highly intelligent person and a great public speaker.  He is a great motivational figure.  While I don't doubt that all presidential candidates are very intelligent (even G.W. Bush), very few come across as strongly as Mr. Obama.  I think this is very important at a time where our country is hurting and in search of hope.  For many, Mr. Obama's presence will go a long way in this regard.
  • I have lots of respect for John McCain, but I hate the way he managed his campaign.  He changed many of his views in an attempt to appeal to hardcore conservatives.  Understandable to a point, and I think it would have been interesting to see what he actually did had he been elected into office, but as a man of principle, I was very surprised to see him flip-flop so much.  His campaign was also overwhelmingly negative.  Every TV ad was about an associate of Obama's just trying to gather public sentiment against him; none actually dealt with what John McCain would do to improve the country.  That bothers me.  I didn't much like his choice of Gov. Palin for VP either but everyone knows enough about her to draw their own conclusions so I won't get into it.
  • People in other countries are majorly pro-Obama.  Right now many countries have anti-American sentiment, and, fairly or unfairly, I think Mr. Obama will help to eliminate some of that and help America become a widely respected nation again.
Those are my main reasons.  I am still a bit unsure of where I stand on some of Obama's policies, such as universal health care.  I think it's a good thing overall, IF it doesn't detract from the quality of health care available, which is obviously a legitimate concern based on results from other countries.  I also generally believe in free markets, but think the bailout was necessary to avoid another Depression.  Overall, though, I just feel like Obama's edge in economic issues and leadership qualities made him the best choice.  Again, I don't think McCain is an evil person or anything, just that Barack was the better candidate, especially in a time of economic crisis.

Also, I'm curious about one thing that admittedly I may be missing the point on.  I've heard many people (mostly hardcore conservatives) call Obama a socialist and condemn his distribution of wealth.  However, to my knowledge, the people this wealth are being distributed to are all working people (under $250k income).  I'm not a supporter of additional welfare but, having read and watched a lot about the election, I've heard absolutely nothing about Obama increasing welfare benefits, just taxing the wealthy more and the lower- and middle-class workers less, which I agree with.  If someone has evidence to the contrary I'd love to see it.  Again, I'm genuinely curious about this, not stubbornly trying to make a point.

Brian

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obamaElection

Nov 5, 08 11:22:34

ship it

mrsoncommand





Nov 5, 08 12:17:03

I am curious. You are ok with taxing the wealthy more? Will this change your taxes or are you already paying out the you know what due to being a "gambler" for a living.

BCheezy





Nov 5, 08 12:23:48

Spread the wealth. Yay socialism!! Make more money for the lower income people because they deserve it more than you. I mean seriously??

Nickw1979





Nov 5, 08 13:01:24

If he implements his proposed tax policy he will be giving refundable tax credits to people whos effective tax rate is 0%. Basically welfare without calling it welfare.

BingoFred





Nov 5, 08 13:52:16

Your reasons for wanting Obama mirrored mine to a T. Good entry bud.

Spudt24





Nov 5, 08 14:26:36

McCain is a better than his campaign portrayed. But he made a grave mistake in the direction that he took. Should have been himself.
As far as spreading the wealth, republicans do it to, except they just directly hand out checks. Bush did it this past year. And Palin does it in Alaska w/ oil money. Giving working people (the overwhelming majority of this country) some tax relief at the affordable expense of the rich (tiny fraction of the pop) is a good thing imo. But I can see why republicans dont like it,

Dixon Yass





Nov 5, 08 14:51:51

BCheezy and Nick,

Yes I am ok with taxing the wealthy more. Under Obama's plan, all working Americans who make under 250k get breaks, and all over 250k get taxed more. While I fall into category B, pretty much every family member and friend who I'm close with fall into category A. If I get taxed a bit more, I'm still going to live a very comfortable lifestyle. On the other hand, the breaks that those close to me will receive will have a solid positive impact on their lives. I'm surprised I didn't actually list this in my post because it was another factor that tipped the scale for me.

Stinger885





Nov 5, 08 14:56:08

BingoFred,

I think I remember reading somewhere that this was changed, but I could be wrong. Do you have a source?

Stinger885





Nov 5, 08 14:59:24

dang Stinger, sounds kind of altruistic to me. u must be a socialist. all that "caring about others", yuck

Dixon Yass





Nov 5, 08 17:07:31

RE: Universal Health Care

Obama's health care plan care doesn't prevent you from still buying additional private health insurance, so you can still receive a high level of quality as long as you are willing to pay for it, as it is now. It does provide coverage for people who have no coverage right now...

chrisred





Nov 5, 08 19:40:47

Right on! Well said.

sonic





Nov 6, 08 08:33:00

Brian

Very good rationale. I am glad you took the time to really think through the choice you made, not just vote on a sound bite from a tv commercial.

I personally voted for McCain for reasons I'll go into below, but I respect your opinions and am legitimately excited for what Obama brings to the table (a Kennedy-like ability to motivate us to achieve a larger purpose and an ability to bring prevoiusly disgruntled groups into the mainstream and increase the overall political education level of our country).

The reason some people are "afraid" of Obama's programs is because he is promising to take capital from those most adept at using it (corporations and high income individuals) and give it to those least adept at using it (government and low income individuals). This leads to a decrease in the productivity of capital, meaning we create less with the same opportunity. Additionally, it disincentivises people from taking risk because they know they will receive a smaller portion of the reward (communism is of course the most extreme example of this; NOT saying Obama is a communist, just using a very extreme example).

As an example, I was on a plane on Monday with a developer. He owns several types of businesses and was considering opening a new dog hotel in his city (he already has a couple; high end doggy day cares). However, in his research He was convinced that Obama's planned tax increases would make it unprofitable for him to run his business, so he let his option on the property expire ahead of a planned Obama victory. By not going ahead with this venture, the 19 jobs he was going to create don't exist. Now imagine this across the country over a period of years; the jobs and lack of growth can add up. This example is why Republicans generally believe in a lower tax rate, because it incentivizes those with the ability to create jobs and growth to take risks and create.

This theory is best explained in Ayn Rand's book Atlas Shrugged. It is a fictional story about the few people who drive the world deciding that everyone else is getting too lazy and dependent and deciding not to produce any more. The result is chaos. Long book, too wordy at times, but "blow your mind" quality thinking.<BR><BR>I hope this helps provide perspective and wasn't too rambling. I wasn't trying to be comprehensive with my qualitiative examples, nor was I trying to change your mind, just throwing out food for thought.

Cheers

StayingWarm

StayingWarm





Nov 6, 08 12:03:22

Redistribution of wealth

I voted for Obama, but redistribution of wealth is one of the many points I disagree with him on.

When you tax the rich more to pay for government that's one thing, but when you decide you took too much and instead of giving it back in the proportions you took it from them you give back everyone basically the same amount (stimulus checks, another is in the works), you just played Robin Hood and took money from the rich and gave it right back to the less rich/poor.

And for anyone that thinks the rich don't pay most of the tax in this country, this is a great site:

http://www.taxfoundation.org/news/show/250.html

Table 6 shows 2006 results, the top 1% of incomes paid 40% of the entire countries taxes.

Don't get me wrong, its not a liberal/democrat thing, Bush did the same crap. But I believe for left leaning folks like Obama, its a central tenet of their philosophy in politics.solinarsolinar

solinar





Nov 6, 08 15:32:33

Stinger,

Here on Obama's site if you go to the Full Obama Tax Plan you will see that the Working Pay Tax Cut is a refundable tax credit. This is his main "tax cut" that he giving. It is refundable, so for the people already at 0% tax liablility and the people it takes beyond 0% it will be welfare.
http://origin.barackobama.com/taxes/

BingoFred





Nov 6, 08 18:53:27

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Nov 6, 08 18:53:27

rakeback offer in ipoker

Hi, I am professional RakeBack Dealer, I am friend of one of the 3 owners of NoiqPoker.com which is one of the best I.Poker sites and I am best friend of the rakeback manager of that site.

I can offer a rakeback to the players between 32% and 56%, we need to talk first, I will make u some questions and after that me and the rakeback manager will decide what rakeback aply to you.

My messenger and e mail is LFPB4@hotmail.com

The payements of the rakebacks are made on day 1th of all months


This offer is valid only for your first 9 months in the site, after that the % of rakeback will be renegociat with u, depending of how much rake u produced in the last 9 months.

ttt





Nov 7, 08 09:14:07

StayingWarm,

Nice post, I'm still just confused about how Obama's tax plan hurts small businesses. I understand that the developer's personal income is being taxed more, but everything I've read and heard (and I just read everything about his tax plan on his website) leads me to believe that Obama is giving tax breaks to small businesses. He plans to eliminate capital gains taxes for small businesses and lower corporate tax rates for new businesses that create jobs. These are facts, but as they are from his own website facts outlining the negatives of the plan for small business owners could certainly be left out. I'm very curious about this, if you can explain a bit better that'd be awesome.

Stinger885





Nov 7, 08 09:16:59

solinar,

As a top 1% earner, I still feel like I can afford to pay a greater share of taxes percentage-wise than a working couple making \$75k a year. In this sense I am for redistribution of wealth, but I am NOT for increased welfare benefits for those not working. My perspective may be skewed about this though because I feel like as a poker player many others work harder than me for much less money.

Stinger885





Nov 7, 08 09:24:02

BingoFred,

I read through the full tax policy. I'm still a little confused on the Making Work Pay credit. It seems pretty clear that it's only given to working people, i.e. not those trying to live solely on welfare checks. However, I take it that the problem is for those who are working but making very low incomes. I just looked up the income tax brackets and from what I gather, this would only be welfare for those making less than \$5k/year. Obviously no full-time jobs pay this low, so I guess the problem is people who will work low-paying jobs for very few hours (probably less than 10 hours a week) and then try to otherwise live off welfare benefits. Am I on the right track here?

Stinger885





Nov 7, 08 13:36:12

Stinger,

Don't go by straight tax brackets b/c that doesn't include deductions and credits that people are already getting. There are itemized deductions, personal exemptions, Earned Income Credit, Child Tax Credit, Child Care Credit, Hope Credit(college),etc..., which put plenty of households below the AGI where they start paying Federal Income Tax.

In 2005 32.6% (44,000,000) of all returns filed didnt pay any tax. (http://www.ntu.org/main/page.php?PageID=155).

Just as an example i made a ficticious return in my tax prep. software. A single parent making \$25,000 in taxable wages with \$2,500 withheld for federal income tax would get a refund of \$3,001. This is now not with future credits. So they would be getting back \$501 more than paid. This is due to Earned Income Credit (which he wants to expand) and Child Tax Credit.

Also as far as small businesses go, many small business file as sole proprietors and as LLCs treated as sole proprietors. So they are taxed at their individual tax rate. The Capital Gains tax elimination is a bunch of nonsense. Its a tax that doesn't apply to most small business on a yearly basis. It was just something he threw in to make it look like he was doing something.

Also the overseas job thing is aimed at bigger corporations. He talked about a credit for small business owners for creating jobs but i dont see it on his site now. It wouldnt be that effective anyway b/c most business owners arent going to hire someone if they get a one time credit. If you lower their tax bracket and they know it will be more permanent then they would be more willing to take on additional labor.

None of this includes what Obama said he wants to do the social security tax. Right now you stop paying S.S. tax on your income after you've reached about 100,000. He wants to raise that amount for higher income earners without giving them any extra S.S. benefit. So he wants the higher earners to subsidze the lower even more. This is really bad for small businesses or self employed b/c they have to pay both sides of their S.S. tax.

BingoFred





Nov 7, 08 15:42:15

Marriner S. Eccles, FDR's Federal Reserve Chairman during the Depression:
"The United States economy is like a poker game where the chips have become concentrated in fewer and fewer hands, and where the other fellows can stay in the game only by borrowing. When their credit runs out the game will stop."

And right now 1% of the pop owns 40% of the wealth. Imagine a 100-man rebuy tourney w/ non-escalating blinds that consisted of a) Justin Bonomo, and b) 99 donks w/ limited bankrolls.

Unlike a poker tourney where the whole point is for 1 player to get all the chips and the rest of the field to go bust, when it comes to the economy we dont want large chunks of the population going busto. So how would u rememdy this? One idea is to make the bigger chipstacks post larger blinds and antes than the shorter stacks post. Makes the game tougher to "win" but it least the game keeps going.

Its not just all about protecting the financially elite, businesses, wealthy people. Without the middle/working class our economy doesnt work either and in case nobody has noticed thats whos in serious trouble right now,

Dixon Yass





Nov 12, 08 22:26:17

blog about your big win

mrsoncommand





Nov 13, 08 18:35:06

I'm kind of tired of hearing the word socialism being so badly misused. The fed announcing it wants a share in al the banks we're bailing out is socialistic. Changing the tax brackets is not a change to the fundamental structure of our ecomony. So save the scare words, they are losing their meaning.

The top tax bracket is half what it was when Regan took office. Prior to that, it hadn't been below 60% since 1931. Adjustments to the tax schedule have been in favor of the uppper classes for a couple of decades now, so a little balance in favor of the middle class is long overdue.

I can't believe that a couple of percentage points on that part of profit above 250k would keep people from starting businesses. They would still be better off making more and paying a bit more than not making the money at all. What exactly is the negative part about makinng more money?

Dasher





Nov 19, 08 20:26:53

can you please comment on Zigmund saying that you are a computer hacker please.

jkipfer





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