CARDRUNNERS

Jul 25, 07 10:32:54

I'll test comments on everything. I don't even care.

ohoyt

Jan 1, 08 19:24:44

wow...100k hands a month. I think my mind would turn to mush. Best of luck to you!!

guiltyhere

Jan 5, 09 14:23:38

Hand #1.
Your play seems pretty standard here given that you’ve seen this guy get it in so light PF. Playing JJ OOP is pretty tough to do and I usually error on the side of caution with “tween’r” type hands, as Cole would put it.

Hand #2
2 things. First, Opening ATo UTG is not going to be profitable. Second, triple barrel bluffing @25nl, 50nl and even @100nl isn’t going to be that profitable unless you 100% know the opponent is capable of folding. So for explanation purposes I’m going to pretend you AT is AK or AQ bc you would be surprised as to how many opponents at the lower levels put you on AK or AQ especially if they are inexperienced and have watched any WSOP on ESPN. So what is the villain’s cold calling range PF? After 2xx hands it’s 26% of all starting hands which is basically, KJ,QJ, JT, more likely suited than off suit, all pps <TT, suited connectors and some Ax>7 suited type hands. So what part of his range is he never folding here. He’s probably not folding 55-TT to a single barrel here. Never folding a Jack, or QT or a flush draw. And he’s def not folding a hand like A9. In general, I think this board is a mandatory C-bet given that the % of hands that hit this board is small given his entire range of possible holding hands. Knowing what we know after this hand, we know that this guy can’t fold on this board so I would start C betting against him less esp in spots where he could hit any piece of the board bc he seems like the mayor of Valuetown and start value betting super thin with TP.

Hand #3
I think you played this hand correctly. 4 betting here is probably going to be a terrible mistake just because I don’t think this guy is 3 bet bluffing given his position and the action ahead. Yeah you could be ISO raising the UTG limper on the button w/ any 2 cards but players at this level aren’t really thinking that with the thought of re-iso’ing you. Had the SB not called I would’ve folded 88 PF, given that you were getting a super good price to call IP I calling there. If you had more history against the villain I could see you peeling the flop and reevaluating on the turn but as played, I think it’s fine.

Hand #4
Standard with KK

Hand #5
AK in 3 bet pots when you miss are a ton of fun. This would qualify as “soft tilt” if you’ve read Verneer’s latest blog entry. Given that this guy is fairly tight. He’s never CR’ing this flop as a bluff. I would rather a check behind here given this type of player is going to play you pretty straight fwd PSTF. He could have AQ but it’s more likely that he has TT-QQ and doesn’t want to get it in PF. There is a chance the he could have something like QJss or KQss but I would weight his range more towards JJ or QQ. A 17/14 would more than likely fold AT and given you have an A it’s less likely that he would have one. Of course if you had been monkey tilting on this table you could be getting played back at with a ton of hands here. If you were out of position here and C bet this flop and got raised you would have to pitch the hand as well, it sucks but w 2 streets to come AK doesn’t fair well.


Hand #6
I think your adjustment is correct but why are you adjusting to Check Raise? You should be Check Raising for value, not bluffs here. I actually like C betting this board and possibly firing a safe turn. There isn’t a lot of hands that this board connects with that he could be cold calling PF with.

Hand #7
First, I would rather you 3 bet a hand like this PF against a guy who is playing so many hands. Cold Calling OOP w a semi marginal hand against a station is a good way to go on tilt and to lose some money.
43/14 what is his aggression factor I’m going to guess that it is somewhere around 1?
And your explanation is counter intuitive. The guy is spewy so you’re going to check raise semi bluff? At this level semi bluffing for value isn’t going to be as profitable because 999/1000 the guy is never folding and why semi bluff when the villain will more than likely pay you off when you hit anyway. Also, you’re bluffing to a gut shot to the non nut end of a str8, definitely not a good thing.

Hand #8
I like the 3 betting PF here for value, not calling. Seeing a flop 3 way OOP with AJ isn’t going to be profitable, if you raise and they all fold, great. It’s a good spot to put on a squeeze given that the CO is opening a wide range, the button is def calling a wide range. The way the hand played out you never know where you are in the hand he could have QJ or KJ (in his mind betting for value) and you think he has QQ+ 3 bet it pre. The way you played the hand I would have taken a line like check call, lead the turn, lead river (given the turn and river that came)

Hand#9
Calling OTB is ok to the UTG open. The Raise from the SB is really kind of scary given that he only raises 7% of his hands, no matter what “pot odds” you’re getting. I’m probably pitching it PF.

Hand #10
What is the Loose Passive Villain’s aggression factor? If it’s like .8 or <1 He could seriously have like 45 or AQ or 4x something. Loose Passives love to call, they always raise w 2 pair or better and the LOVE getting their money in on the river when they have 2 pair +. Nevertheless, let’s look at the board. What beats you? AA full,A9, 4x QQ full and 9s full. Usually loose passives are almost always raising their premium pps. A9 is unlikely bc you have an Ace, so the chance of him having an Ace is less likely and having a 4 is less likely bc there are 2 4s out there. Given my rational there is a good chance that the villain could have a hand like Q9, of course this is the only 2 pair combo hand that you beat. If you use card displacement it’s hard for him to have the other combos of hands. This spot is tough, I don’t mind the fold but a call might not be too bad either.

Nickw1979